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Connor Barwin's Civic Season

This week, the all-pro linebacker and citizen activist measures how our civic health stacks up against Buffalo

This week, we won against Buffalo on the field—and off. Civically, Philadelphia and Buffalo are two very similar cities. Both were once manufacturing towns, but are now driven by government, healthcare and educational institutions. As such, both have high poverty rates, roughly the same percentage of residents with BAs or higher, and roughly the same degree of inequality.

As we’ve seen with other Rustbelt cities, both Buffalo and Philly began losing population in the 1950s as the national economy fundamentally shifted after World War II. But while our population has stabilized and even grown since the turn of the 21st Century, Buffalo’s is still in decline. “History and location accounts for Buffalo’s greater decline,” explains Professor Richardson Dilworth of Drexel’s Center for Public Policy. “Philadelphia was once a major port city that developed a manufacturing base, which propelled its 19th Century growth. Buffalo was the terminus of the Erie Canal and thus became an important nodal point for trade and commerce in the 19th Century. But once the canals and railroads became less significant to the U.S. economy, Buffalo ceased to be economically important and simply became a location on a lake that got a lot of snow. Philadelphia still had a geographic advantage, being between Washington, D.C., and New York City, and, since we’re larger, we tend to have a more diversified economy.”

At first blush, it may seem surprising that a higher percentage of residents in Buffalo report having moved there in the last year. But think again, Dilworth says. “These are percentages, and Philadelphia is much bigger,” Dilworth points out. “Another important question is where these people moved from. Buffalo is pretty vibrant, but the upstate New York economy is truly miserable. So it stands to reason that people are moving to Buffalo from places like Newburgh or even nearby Erie, Pennsylvania—a far more depressing place than Buffalo.” Transplants to Philadelphia, on the other hand, tend to come from more economically competitive cities, like Brooklyn, NY.

Next week we host the Arizona Cardinals.

Results

Philadelphia

Eagles

vs

Buffalo

Bills

% BA or higher

24.4

7 POINTS

Bills

% BA or higher

24.8

% Below poverty

27.2

7 POINTS

Eagles

% Below poverty

31.4

% Bike to work

2.1

7 POINTS

Eagles

% Bike to work

1.4

% Moved to city in past year

4.6

7 POINTS

Bills

% Moved to city in past year

5.0

Violent crime per 1,000 residents

11.0

7 POINTS

Eagles

Violent crime per 1,000 residents

12.6

% Volunteer

26.2

7 POINTS

Eagles

% Volunteer

23.7

% Voted in last mayoral election

25.5

7 POINTS

Eagles

% Voted in last mayoral election

15

Income Inequality Index

.51

7 POINTS

Bills

Income Inequality Index

.50

% of population aged 22 to 34

22.5

7 POINTS

Eagles

% of population aged 22 to 34

21.13

Final Score

42

Philadelphia

Eagles

Final Score

21

Sep. 14
21-35

Falcons

Falcons

Sep. 20
21-42

Cowboys

Cowboys

Sep. 27
28-35

Jets

Jets

Oct. 04
14-42

Redskins

Redskins

Oct. 11
21-42

Saints

Saints

Oct. 19
28-35

Giants

Giants

Oct. 25
21-35

Panthers

Panthers

Nov. 08
21-42

Cowboys

Cowboys

Nov. 15
56-0

Eagles

Dolphins

Nov. 22
35-28

Eagles

Buccaneers

Nov. 26
42-7

Eagles

Lions

Dec. 06
28-35

Patriots

Patriots

Dec. 13
42-21

Eagles

Bills

Oct. 19
35-28

Eagles

Cardinals

Dec. 26
14-42

Redskins

Redskins

Jan. 03
35-28

Eagles

Giants

Civic Record:

EAGLES

Wins

5

Losses

7

Upcoming Games:

Data compiled by Ken Gross, Quantitative Innovations.

All data from the U.S. Census American Community Survey 2011-2013 except: Volunteer rates; crime stats.

Voter turnout rates from Philadelphia’s 2015 general election; Buffalo’s 2015 general election.

More info on the GINI Index of Income Inequality.

* All team logos are property of the NFL and their respective franchises.

Homepage photo: Brian Garfinkel/Philadelphia Eagles

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